It seems like there is such disappointment with the Republican field right now that everyone is trying to entice New Jersey Governor Chris Christie to join the already convoluted race. "Should he or shouldn't he?" aside, Chris Cillizza of The Washington Post and Politicker NJ both weigh in -- no Christie-related pun intended (although Politicker NJ does bring it up) -- with three and five reasons, respectively, on whether or not he should run.
Additionally, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight tries to figure out how Christie differentiates from Republican frontrunners Mitt Romney and Rick Perry.
And these are just the article about this topic today. If this Republican field gets any less appealing, who knows how many calls there will be for Christie to enter the race. Stay tuned.
Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts
Monday, September 26, 2011
Wednesday, June 1, 2011
No way Jose! David instead of Jose?
Adam Rubin of ESPN reported yesterday and WFAN reports today that the Mets are considering moving David Wright should they decide to re-sign Jose Reyes. The WFAN article even quotes a scout saying:
"“Look at their club and look at the other shortstops around the league, and trading Wright makes more sense,” said the scout. “You can play (Daniel) Murphy at third and he’ll give you enough offense there. But you can’t replace Reyes’ offense with (Ruben) Tejada.”"
I hate to admit it but it's hard to disagree with the scout. It's harder find a shortstop with the offensive upside of a Jose Reyes than it is to find a third baseman with the offensive upside of a David Wright. It's not something I like about the game but that's just how players are developed. And let's not forget the Boston Red Sox traded Nomar Garciaparra at the height of his popularity in Boston only to go on three months later to win their first World Series title in 86 years. That proved to be a brilliant move because Nomar was never again the caliber of player he was in Boston. A part of me wonders if Nomar's fate is David Wright's fate as well but a part of me desperately wants to believe what WFAN's Rich Coutinho wrote today.
Meanwhile, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight writes about how the team's image is impacting its attendance. I wonder if there was a way for him to factor in all the trade talk into his analysis.
"“Look at their club and look at the other shortstops around the league, and trading Wright makes more sense,” said the scout. “You can play (Daniel) Murphy at third and he’ll give you enough offense there. But you can’t replace Reyes’ offense with (Ruben) Tejada.”"
I hate to admit it but it's hard to disagree with the scout. It's harder find a shortstop with the offensive upside of a Jose Reyes than it is to find a third baseman with the offensive upside of a David Wright. It's not something I like about the game but that's just how players are developed. And let's not forget the Boston Red Sox traded Nomar Garciaparra at the height of his popularity in Boston only to go on three months later to win their first World Series title in 86 years. That proved to be a brilliant move because Nomar was never again the caliber of player he was in Boston. A part of me wonders if Nomar's fate is David Wright's fate as well but a part of me desperately wants to believe what WFAN's Rich Coutinho wrote today.
Meanwhile, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight writes about how the team's image is impacting its attendance. I wonder if there was a way for him to factor in all the trade talk into his analysis.
Monday, November 15, 2010
FiveThirtyEight: Tim Pawlenty is the Republican Party's Gregg Jefferies
I really didn't understand the point Nate Silver was making in his blog post until the very last paragraph:
"Indeed, Mr. Palwenty is in danger of becoming the Gregg Jefferies of politics: the perpetual prospect who never blossoms into more than a league-average politician."
As I life-long Mets fan, I always hoped the hype around Gregg Jefferies would help him overcome his error at third base in the 2nd inning of Game 7 of the 1988 NLCS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Unfortunately that never happened. Which seems to be what Mr. Silver is implying about Gov. Pawlenty.
"Indeed, Mr. Palwenty is in danger of becoming the Gregg Jefferies of politics: the perpetual prospect who never blossoms into more than a league-average politician."
As I life-long Mets fan, I always hoped the hype around Gregg Jefferies would help him overcome his error at third base in the 2nd inning of Game 7 of the 1988 NLCS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Unfortunately that never happened. Which seems to be what Mr. Silver is implying about Gov. Pawlenty.
Friday, July 30, 2010
Fivethirtyeight.com: Introducing Partisan Propensity Index (PPI)
Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com introduces us to his new Partisan Propensity Index (PPI) to predict which way an open House seat will fall in a midterm election.
At least that's what I think it predicts. I'm always amazed at Silver's ability to crunch numbers and I generally digest them pretty well but this new index makes me wish I did better than a B+ in College Statistics.
Blue Jersey has a pretty good explanation of Nate Silver's new metric and how it impacts Congressional races specifically in New Jersey.
At least that's what I think it predicts. I'm always amazed at Silver's ability to crunch numbers and I generally digest them pretty well but this new index makes me wish I did better than a B+ in College Statistics.
Blue Jersey has a pretty good explanation of Nate Silver's new metric and how it impacts Congressional races specifically in New Jersey.
Thursday, November 19, 2009
NYT: The Senate’s Health Care Calculations
Is there anything Nate Silver does not analyze? He's quickly developing a reputation for himself as a person of focused objectivity.
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